The Russia-Iran Axis Is Disintegrating Before Our Eyes

• 2.03.2026, 8:44

What the Iranian regime miscalculated in relying on Putin's support for the war.

Is Russia able to support Iranian allies after Israeli and US attacks? Ask Armenia and the Assad regime in Syria

It has been confirmed that Iran did appeal to Russia, relying on clauses in the agreements on "mutual assistance in case of threat to sovereignty."

Moscow, who would be surprised, took advantage of a legal casuistry: since the strikes by the United States and Israel are positioned as "point operations against terrorist infrastructure" rather than a full-scale [ground] invasion, the Kremlin treats this as a case not covered by the collective defense clause.

Iran has requested that Russia's S-400 surface-to-air missile systems, as well as the Krasukha and Leer-3 electronic warfare systems at the Russian bases in Syria that continue to operate there (Khmeimim and Tartus) be activated to blind Israeli aircraft.

But Russia not only refused, but reportedly turned off transponders and active radars at its bases as Israeli missiles flew over, to avoid accidental snagging and an excuse to enter the conflict.

And finally, Moscow's refusal is being heard in the capitals of North Korea and China - Pyongyang and Beijing - and among the Global South.

Russia has demonstrated that it is an "ally until the first serious challenge." Iranian elites, especially the pragmatic wing, now openly say that strategic reliance on Russia was a mistake that led to national disaster.

What can I say, tightwads.

Igor Semivolos, Facebook