Kiev Sends A Black Mark To Lukashenko
- Alexander Klaskovsky
- 18.05.2026, 9:13
The ruler of Belarus is keeping quiet.
Robert Brovdi, commander of Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Force, sent a second black mark to the ruler of Belarus in two days. Commenting on the drone attack on Moscow, he advised, "Lukashenko, look at the prospects."
The day before, on May 16, this charismatic military man with the call sign "Madyar" threatened the Belarusian autocrat with retaliation for the passage of Russian attack drones through Belarus. And he did it in a far from diplomatic manner, calling the addressee of the message "Minsk Gauleiter Lukaszesku" (the play on words, one must assume, is understandable).
Ukraine is launching a psychic attack on Putin's ally
In general, Kiev has launched a real psychic attack on the Kremlin's ally. The other day, President Vladimir Zelensky said that Ukrainian intelligence detects Moscow's attempts to persuade Alexander Lukashenko "to join new Russian aggressive operations," and warned him against such a move. Such statements have become a refrain in Zelensky's mouth.
On May 15, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrei Sibiga noted that Lukashenko, as well as Vladimir Putin and other representatives of the Russian leadership, "have received their ticket to The Hague." With this metaphor, Sibiga commented on the decision of the Cabinet of Ministers of the Council of Europe to approve the text of an important document on the Special Tribunal for the crime of aggression against Ukraine.
It should also be noted that this year Ukraine has imposed sanctions against Lukashenko, persons from his entourage and a number of Belarusian enterprises. In addition, the other day it became known that historian and political expert Yaroslav Chornogor was appointed responsible for relations with the Belarusian democratic forces in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine. This is not an ordinary personnel decision, but also an important touch to our story. After all, for a long time after the beginning of Russia's large-scale invasion, Kiev preferred not to develop contacts with those whom Lukashenko calls "fugitives". It was believed that the Ukrainian leadership feared the opening of a second front.
The Belarusian ruler keeps silent
In fact, Kiev and Lukashenko have switched places in their mutual rhetoric. Earlier, the Belarusian ruler used to arrogantly lecture the Ukrainian president, or even insult him (once even the word "nastard" was heard). Now Zelensky and his people are scapegoating Putin's ally. In January, for example, the head of Ukraine made a joke with the phrase: "So far, unfortunately, Lukashenko's white spitz has more rights than the people of Belarus."
So the Ukrainian side has clearly become bolder, while the Belarusian autocrat, usually intemperate in his language, on the contrary, prefers to keep silent, swallows offenses. Which happens to him mostly when he feels someone else's power.
Why did such a metamorphosis occur?
First of all, we should note that the Ukrainians have impressively advanced in the art of drone warfare. Their drones have successfully attacked objects located far deep inside Russian territory. A Flamingo missile has been created, which is claimed to be capable of hitting at 3,000 kilometers. The fires at refineries in Russian Tuapse and Perm and at terminals in Ust-Luga (the list goes on) are literally vivid examples of the effectiveness of Ukrainian strikes. Zelensky ironically called it "long-range sanctions."
And the Mozyr refinery, one of the leading Belarusian enterprises, is close to the Ukrainian border. And the winged retaliation, if anything, can easily reach any point in Belarus.
Finally, let us remember that the proud Putin himself was forced through Donald Trump to ask for a truce with Ukraine for the duration of the May 9 parade. And this humiliation of "big brother" must have impressed Lukashenko too. If the Kremlin's ruler, the head of a nuclear power, feels uncomfortable even having pulled the best air defense forces to Moscow, then his vassal, which does not have such an arsenal, has all the more reason to fear Ukrainian punishment for complicity in aggression.
They want to confront the aggressor with the coaggressor?
Zelensky said on May 15 that he became aware of plans for operations from the Belarusian territory "either against the Chernihiv-Kiev direction in Ukraine or against one of the NATO countries."
Well, Moscow may develop various plans, including purely hypothetical ones, and for the distant future. However, such operations are unlikely today. Lukashenko has few troops and, as one can assume, they are not particularly motivated to fight against Ukraine. And the leader of the regime himself is probably not eager to send them into the meat grinder. And Putin is having trouble even replenishing his units in Ukraine after the butchery. Where to get another invasion army from?
Besides, the Ukrainians have created powerful fortifications on the border with Belarus and put mines on it. And the Polessk swamps are a serious obstacle for the aggressors.
In general, Zelensky seems to have no immediate reasons to sound the alarm. True, we may not know about any secret assistance of Lukashenko's regime to the Russian troops. Let's recall that the same Zelensky signaled that Russia was attacking Ukraine by placing UAV targeting equipment on the roofs of residential buildings in Belarus. And, by the way, Kiev showed that it has long arms by later reporting that these antennas were destroyed.
It can also be assumed that with alarmist statements about aggressive joint plans of the Moscow and Minsk regimes, the Ukrainian leadership is trying to attract the attention of Europe. They say that tomorrow the war may come to you, so don't spare any help while we are holding back the Horde.
Further, knowing Zelensky's tensions with Washington, one cannot exclude that by pressing on Lukashenko the Ukrainians want to spoil the prospects of his legitimization through the dialog with Donald Trump.
Another probable goal of the Ukrainian IPSO is to confront Lukashenko and Putin. The more intimidated a vassal is, the higher the probability that he will start to unscrew himself from unpleasant missions imposed by Moscow.
And other analysts make complicated hypotheses. They say that by putting pressure on the ruler of Belarus, the Ukrainian authorities are raising the stakes before the probable negotiations with him after a hard peace with the Kremlin is concluded.
But perhaps it should not be so complicated. They scare because they can. They have something to scare with. And as Kiev believes, Lukashenko deserved the black mark long ago.
Alexander Klaskovsky, "Pozirk"