New Mobilization Will Not Help Russia On The Frontline
- 28.05.2026, 12:08
ISW cited a major obstacle.
Forced mobilization in the Russian Federation not only will not save the situation on the front, but may further deteriorate the quality of Russian troops.
This is reported by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
The personnel crisis and the questionable effect of the new mobilization
Analysts note that the impact of a possible new wave of forced conscription in the Russian Federation remains questionable due to the Russian army's increasing personnel problems and difficulties in moving troops to the front.
The ISW pointed out that Russia not only has to compensate for significant losses on the battlefield, but also has to find new people for unmanned systems units and defense of rear regions from Ukrainian drone attacks.
With this as a backdrop, the Kremlin is expanding its military recruitment campaigns to new categories of the population. These include students and women who are being recruited to work in air defense systems and drone units.
At the same time, the rate of contract recruitment in Russia continues to decline even as lump-sum payments for signing a contract have increased.
Training Problems and Falling Capability
Analysts note that the Russian army is already facing serious problems in training personnel and drone operators. In the event of large-scale mobilization, these difficulties can only intensify and negatively affect the combat capability of the troops.
An additional factor has been Ukrainian drone strikes, which actively impede Russia's ability to move personnel to the front lines, as well as provide supplies and hold positions on the front lines.
The Institute of War also points to the degradation of the effectiveness of Russia's elite Rubikon unmanned systems center.
It was its operators who helped the Russian army achieve a number of successes on the front lines in late 2025, but training problems and system overload have gradually reduced their combat effectiveness.
The ISW believes that the Kremlin is approaching a point where personnel shortages will become a major threat to the continuation of the war.