Is Ukraine Warning Lukashenko?

• 8.05.2026, 8:30

A political analyst told what is behind Kiev's latest statements.

The speaker of the State Security Service of Ukraine Andrey Demchenko said that there is "certain activity" on the territory of Belarus near the border with its southern neighbor - "including the creation of logistic directions, polygons, further, possibly, activity, cooperation with Russia."

How this statement should be assessed, "Filin" asked Ukrainian political scientist Evgeny Magda.

-"I think from Ukraine's side we are dealing with elements of information and psychological influence on Lukashenko's regime," Magda believes. - Let me explain what I mean. The fact is that the construction of landfills on the sovereign territory of Belarus, and Gomel region is certainly the sovereign territory of Belarus, is quite normal and, I would say, legal.

But this is only from one side. If we take into account that Lukashenko is proud of his status of the Kremlin's ally and coaggressor, then Ukraine is simply obliged to react to everything the coaggressor does.

All the more so in close proximity to the Ukrainian border. In this regard, I think there can be no doubt.

Ukraine is simply demonstrating that it is watching what is happening in Belarus quite closely, and if necessary, Kiev will certainly use its intelligence data - to prevent a repetition of the events of February 2022.

Lukashenko can foam at the mouth on this topic, talk about his peacefulness and so on, but Ukraine knows very well the price of his peacefulness, the price of his word, the price of his ability to act so as to be a good neighbor.

Ukraine also knows that Belarus does not have a critical number of people willing to fight. And this is good. First of all, it is good for Belarusians.