"This Isn't IPSO": What Lies Ahead For Crimea In The Near Future
- 30.06.2026, 12:20
The temporarily occupied Crimea has recently become one of the main targets of the Ukrainian military.
This has a negative impact both on the lives of Russians forced to leave the peninsula and on the military objectives of the enemy army.
Blogger and journalist Dmitry “Apostle” Karpenko reported “Channel 24” that supply issues for the population in Crimea may soon worsen due to logistical difficulties. This instability on the temporarily occupied peninsula is linked to regular and targeted drone attacks by the Ukrainian Defense Forces.
Dmytro Karpenko noted that it is too early to jump to conclusions about the likelihood of “Pautina 2.0.” However, he emphasized that the occupied Crimea may face serious difficulties in the near future.
If logistical problems worsen, the peninsula could face shortages of goods and disruptions in emergency services.
“A real demographic tragedy could unfold in Crimea. Most likely, there will be a famine. Because they have no way to transport goods. Even now, ambulances won’t be able to operate. Plus, there are blackouts—that’s the problem,” the journalist said.
In addition, reports are emerging about restrictions on the sale of certain goods in Crimean stores.
“There are videos being posted from stores—they’re selling flour one bag at a time.” “This is no joke; this isn’t IPSO,” Karpenko emphasized.
He also suggested that one of the most likely scenarios could be the destruction of the Crimean Bridge. In that case, the occupied peninsula could effectively find itself under blockade, and Russia would have to organize humanitarian corridors to evacuate the civilian population.
It is worth adding that the economic situation in occupied Crimea is deteriorating—local residents report mass layoffs, delayed wages, and forced unpaid leave. According to media reports, one of the reasons is the virtual halt of the tourist season, which has hit local businesses hard. Despite promises of support, the occupying authorities have not yet announced any specific relief measures.