A Fatal Outcome For Lukashenko
- 28.07.2026, 10:51
On the situation with repeaters in Belarus.
Reality and propaganda rarely overlap, and the situation with the relay stations appears to be no exception.
The end of spring and the beginning of summer were marked by a sharp deterioration in Ukrainian-Belarusian relations. The main sticking point was the use of Belarusian telecommunications infrastructure to guide Russian drones to targets on Ukrainian territory. Attempts to resolve the issue through backchannel diplomacy failed, and the conflict spilled into the public sphere.
After several rounds of exchanges on the issue, Ukraine issued an ultimatum, and everyone held their breath in anticipation of an inevitable showdown. The Belarusian side began actively promoting the narrative that “Zelenskyy is a drug addict, and he’s having another one of his delusions,” and launched a clumsy and stilted “creative” campaign claiming that Ukraine’s neighbors had mistaken the repeaters for... peaceful bushlanki.
The entire Lukashenko propaganda cavalry and the entire Lukashenko propaganda army, foaming at the mouth and with clenched fists, proved their peacefulness and posted AI-generated images of swans, ejecting a caricatured Zelenskyy with red eyes beyond the borders of our blue-eyed homeland.
However, as is usually the case, with the passage of time, many secrets gradually come to light. The first warning sign that Ukrainians would not tolerate Russian drones being guided from Belarusian territory was Zelenskyy’s statement that, as of June 22, four repeaters on Belarusian territory had ceased to function.
Just four days later, an attack took place in the Ukrainian city of Korosten, apparently carried out using relay stations located on Belarusian territory. As early as June 29, the then-former commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian army, Syrsky, stated that one relay station had been activated but would not be used again. This was because, in his opinion, the Belarusian side had realized why it should not do so.
In the age of global digitalization, it is difficult to cover up the traces of such events, and that is exactly what happened this time as well.
Journalists from “Flagshtok” discovered a very telling tender for the restoration of an MTS mobile communication tower in the village of Tonezh near Lelchitsy. Previously, sources had already reported that the tower had been struck, with the attack succeeding on the second attempt.
The first time, the drone missed its target and struck a forest, causing a fire. A check using a global service for monitoring fires and thermal anomalies confirmed a forest fire on June 28, several kilometers from the village of Tonezh. Journalists also received reports of damage to transmission towers in Loev and the Pinsk District, but there is not yet as much information available on those incidents as there is on the tower in Tonezh.
Thus, the Lukashenko regime’s state propaganda attempted to put a good face on a bad situation and carried out a “fool’s game” operation against the Ukrainians. At the end of the day, the relay stations are not working, and despite Ukraine’s “kinetic sanctions” against them, military activity between the two countries has not escalated.
The issue has been resolved until the next round of tensions. And it seems no one doubts that there will be another round. Many military experts suggest that Moscow may try to use the Belarus factor to radically change the situation on the fronts of the Russian-Ukrainian war.
In the event of a mass mobilization, Belarusian training grounds could, at the very least, be used again to train Russian troops, and at most, the country’s territory could be used to launch an invasion at any point along the 1,000-kilometer Belarusian-Ukrainian border, utilizing the country’s infrastructure and logistics. Such actions by the Russians would have fatal consequences for Lukashenko’s regime, and they understand this.
Therefore, the regime will try to avoid such a scenario by any means necessary. The question is, how long will the resistance of the “heroic stronghold” at 38 Karl Marx Street last?
Sergey Kovalchuk, “Solidarnast”