ISW: New Mobilization Promises Problems For Putin
- 27.02.2023, 10:14
The head of the Kremlin bets on ultranationalists.
From that moment on, Putin began to think about the issue of mobilizing and creating new volunteer detachments. In addition, the Kremlin did not forget about recruiting for war in other countries of the world.
Yesterday, on February 26, the analysts of the Institute for the Study of War focused on the issue of mobilization and lack of manpower for the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation.
Back in mid-May 2022, the Russian Defense Ministry began to gradually withdraw its troops in the Kharkiv region as close as possible to the Russian border. Moreover, the invaders began to transfer part of the troops to the Donbas in order to capture Lysychansk and Severdonetsk. These actions on the part of Moscow testified that the occupiers were in dire need of an additional reserve, which at that time did not exist.
In May 2022, the Russian Defense Ministry began to turn to Putin with a request to urgently announce a decree on partial mobilization in order to build on success in the Donbas.
Putin has long resisted calling for mobilization in the country, especially against the backdrop of the defeat of the Russian army in Ukraine. Instead, the head of the Russian Federation gave the green light to the formation of volunteer detachments and the recruitment of people from other countries.
Also, the head of the Kremlin decided to personally hold a meeting with the Russian military ultra-nationalist communities of bloggers in order to appeal to all Russians who want to fight against Ukraine through them.
Volunteer recruitment was carried out by communities such as Rusich and the Russian Imperial Movement. Recruitment took place in the territories that the Russian Federation had already occupied at one time — the Donbas and Abkhazia.
Further events at the front showed that it was necessary to announce a partial mobilization. And later, Putin decided to reconsider the issue of military service.
Analysts are convinced that Putin will have to slightly reconsider the issue of service in the RF Armed Forces, going against the issue of demography. Every year in the Russian Federation 800 thousand guys turn 18 years old. If Putin wants to increase the size of his army, then even those who have been diagnosed with illnesses and who are already legally unfit for military service will fall under the draft. Such steps will lead to the fact that young people will only serve, and not work for the benefit of the economy of their country.
Experts are confident that Putin can mobilize even more people into the ranks of the Russian Armed Forces, but this will hit the Russian economy even more painfully.