"Belarusian Withdrawal": Putin Personally Asked Lukashenko To "make Noise" On The Ukrainian Border

• 2.06.2026, 22:27

The dictator is approaching a dangerous line.

- In late February, Putin personally asked Lukashenko to "make some noise" on the Ukrainian border, according to the telegram channel "Belarus' Vyvedka".

- Lukashenko ordered the deployment of additional SDF troops to "strongholds" along the border and especially in the Gomel region. The "maneuvers" even involved the MVD to make them realistic. Active KGB activities were carried out in the areas of concentration with the aim of disinforming the Ukrainian GUR, and medical supplies were deliberately delivered to state hospitals. In spring, a number of domestic exercises were conducted for the same purpose. Lukashenko worked off "big brother's request," but did it clumsily and suspiciously.

Today, Lukashenko's headquarters is preparing for a black-flag operation on the part of the Kremlin. In essence, the Russians will try to create a casus belli to draw the Belarusians into the war.

The result may be an exchange of drone strikes with the Ukrainian side with the defeat of Russian-Belarusian bases and possibly the Mozyr refinery. This could come as a result of a provocation that would not have the potential for aggressive action and escalation, but would give Lukashenko an opportunity to defuse the intense pressure from the Kremlin. He will be able to practically demonstrate the consequences and show Putin that he is just as hurt.

In any case, Lukashenko is approaching a dangerous line. By August he will have to make a choice. Everything we observe in his headquarters and in the power vertical indicates that if there is an escalation, the Belarusian side will be ready to sacrifice infrastructure, but not to get involved in the war," writes the Telegram channel.