Lukashenko Has Something To Fear: Expert Identifies His Weak Spot
- 21.06.2026, 16:50
Ukraine is prepared to take preemptive action.
Alexander Musienko , a member of the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ Territorial Defense Forces and a military expert , discussed this in his analytical briefing on YouTube, according to unian.net.
“Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy quite resolutely called on Lukashenko to stop playing into Putin’s hands in this aggression. Specifically, to stop allowing Russia to deploy antennas and repeaters that the enemy uses to improve and increase the effectiveness of attacks on Ukrainian territory,” Musienko said.
He noted that Belarus has repeatedly allowed Russia to install such signal amplifiers.
“In order to transmit signals over the greatest possible distance—so that Russia, for example, could attack the western part of our country, attack Volyn, and so that drones could fly along the border between Ukraine and Belarus— and to make it harder for us to intercept them, they are installing the necessary antennas and signal boosters to maintain communication—specifically, an alternative communication channel for the ‘Geraniums’ (the so-called “Shaheds”) that are flying to carry out terrorist attacks on Ukrainian territory,” Musienko noted.
Earlier, Ukrainian officials stated that an increase in certain hostile Russian activities on Belarusian territory had been observed. The enemy is developing ways to improve its attacks on Ukrainian territory.
“In addition, they have set up defensive positions there, positions for artillery fire, and are creating infrastructure and sites for the possible future deployment of military towns and units. And all of this has been documented,” Musienko said.
He recalled that Zelenskyy had given Lukashenko one week to dismantle the Russian signal repeaters.
“One week is absolutely the right stance,” Musienko emphasized.
What Lukashenko Fears
According to the analyst, Lukashenko is very wary and fears for the Mozyr Oil Refinery.
“When he said that the Ukrainian Armed Forces have everything laid bare before them and can see everything directly in Belarus, he was referring, first and foremost, to the Mozyr Oil Refinery. He certainly understands that as soon as we strike it—that’s it. Belarus will be unable to supply petroleum products, primarily to the Moscow region. And that is exactly where they have been sending them and continue to send them. That is why the Mozyr Oil Refinery could come under attack. “This is obvious to me and absolutely correct,” Musienko emphasized.
At the same time, he does not rule out that “if Lukashenko does not decide to remove the relay stations within a week, Ukrainian drones will target them.”
He also explained what this means.
“This means that we are strong. We are demonstrating our own autonomy. We are defending ourselves. And we are saying: Get out of Belarus, Russians. And we’re giving Lukashenko a chance,” Musienko emphasized.
Ukraine will not wait for Russia and Belarus to prepare a new invasion
He believes that Ukraine is exercising its right to self-defense, and that Lukashenko and his troops would do well to reflect on the situation and observe the fires burning in Russia, because the Mozyr Oil Refinery, relay stations, and other military facilities could go up in flames in the same way.
“We will not wait for Belarus and Russia to prepare a new invasion of Kyiv or the Chernihiv region. No, we will take preemptive action,” Musienko emphasized.