Russia's Losses Have Reached A Record High
- 16.08.2026, 16:21
The Russian military loses about 30,000 service members every month.
Since the start of its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Russia may have lost about 1.4 million military personnel on the battlefield. In 2026, analysts estimate that Russian losses average about 30,000 people per month. Against this backdrop, Moscow may be considering a new wave of mobilization following the fall elections to the State Duma, writes Forbes.
According to estimates by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), as of July 1, the Russian army’s cumulative battlefield losses had reached approximately 1.4 million servicemen. In 2026 alone, according to the center’s estimate, Russia is losing about 30,000 personnel each month.
CSIS estimates the ratio of Russian to Ukrainian military casualties to be approximately 8:1.
At the same time, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) notes that these significant losses prevented the Russian military from achieving substantial operational results during the spring and summer offensive campaigns of 2026.
Russia’s losses extend beyond personnel. The Russian army has also lost a significant amount of military equipment and ships from the Black Sea Fleet. Furthermore, Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil refining infrastructure have intensified pressure on the country’s economy.
Against the backdrop of heavy losses and emerging recruitment challenges, Russian authorities may resort to mobilization once again.
Earlier, Meduza reported, citing sources, that Russian officials were discussing the possibility of carrying it out after the State Duma elections this fall. The ISW also reported that the Kremlin is considering various options in the event of a new mobilization campaign.
Vladimir Putin last announced a partial mobilization in September 2022. At that time, the authorities announced plans to draft 300,000 reservists.
Since then, Moscow has primarily replenished its ranks with contract soldiers and volunteers, offering them large lump-sum payments, higher salaries, and various benefits.
However, according to Western media reports, the rate of voluntary enlistment in Russia has recently begun to decline, which may increase the authorities’ need for additional measures to replenish the army.